Derivation of Sectoral Marginal Abatement Cost Curves using GCAM

Minyoung Roh; Suduk Kim

doi:10.12972/ksmer.2017.54.1.020

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2017 Vol.54, Issue 1 Preview Page Next Page

Research Paper

Derivation of Sectoral Marginal Abatement Cost Curves using GCAM GCAM을 이용한 부문별 한계저감비용곡선 도출

28 February 2017. pp. 20-28

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Abstract

This paper discusses the impacts of domestic emission reduction target or INDC(Intended Nationally Determined Contribution) on energy technology choices using GCAM-based MACC. With the introduction of 25.7% carbon cap to reference case, results obtained for carbon emission reductions by coal generation technologies and AgLU(Agriculture and Land Use) sector are 38.9% and 28.4%, respectively, showing 67.3% of the total target. For building and industrial sector, technologies using electricity show higher emission reduction potential with relatively higher MACs(Marginal Abatement Costs). For the case of transportation sector, many technologies show negative MAC due to the rapid decrease in oil liquids consumptions, resulting in the negative emission abatement. Referring to the negative MAC discussed in earlier studies, this study also confirms that this type of problem can occur in the derivation of technology-detailed MACC.

Keywords

Intended Nationally Determined Contribution(INDC)

Marginal Abatement Cost Curve(MACC)

Global Change Assessment Model(GCAM)

본 연구에서는 GCAM기반 한계저감비용곡선을 도출하여, 국내의 자발적 온실가스 감축목표가 에너지시스템에 미치는 영향을 분석하고, 더불어 통상의 한계저감비용곡선에서 발생하는 문제점에 대해 논의하였다. 분석 결과, 전체 배출 저감량 중 발전 부문의 석탄기술이 38.9%, AgLU(Agriculture and Land Use) 부문이 28.4%를 차지하였다. 건물, 산업 부문에서 전력을 사용하는 기술에서 높은 배출저감 잠재력을 보이지만, 그 한계저감비용은 다소 높은 것으로 나타났다. 대부분 유류를 사용하는 수송 부문의 경우, 비교안에서 급격한 유류 소비가 감소하여 해당기술의 절반 이상이 음의 한계저감비용으로 나타났다. 음의 한계저감비용에 대한 문제점은 이미 많은 선행연구에서도 지적되었던 바, 본 연구에서도 세부 기술별 한계저감비용곡선을 도출하는 경우 이러한 문제가 발생함을 다시 한 번 확인하였다.

키워드

자발적 국가 온실가스 감축목표

한계저감비용곡선

Global Change Assessment Model(GCAM)

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Information

Publisher :The Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
Publisher(Ko) :한국자원공학회
Journal Title :Journal of the Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
Journal Title(Ko) :한국자원공학회지
Volume : 54
No :1
Pages :20-28
Received Date : 2016-11-17
Revised Date : 2017-02-16
Accepted Date : 2017-02-16
DOI :https://doi.org/10.12972/ksmer.2017.54.1.020

Journal of the Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers ISSN:2288-0291(Print) 2288-2790(Online) 한국자원공학회지

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