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2014 Vol.51, Issue 3 Preview Page

Research Paper

30 June 2014. pp. 437-447
Abstract
Reservoir characterization and uncertainty assessment are indispensable for decision making. Uncertainty quantification requires high computational costs because multiple models are simulated and optimizations should be performed on each model. In addition, fluid flow in a reservoir exhibits highly nonlinear characteristics, and history matching is mathematically an ill-posed problem. In this study, we propose a methodology to rapidly quantify uncertainties by using flow based distance and generalized travel time inversion(GTTI). Firstly, we group similar models according to cumulative field water production. Representative models are selected from each group after applying K-means clustering. Then inversions are performed on the representative models to quantify uncertainties. We use GTTI algorithm to take advantage of computational efficiency and quasilinearity. Compared to a conventional method, the proposed method reduces the amount of calculations significantly, while reliably assessing the uncertainty.
저류층특성화와 불확실성 정량화는 의사결정을 위한 필수과정이다. 불확실성 정량화는 다수의 모델을 계산하며 각 모델의 최적화가 요구되기 때문에 많은 계산이 필요하다. 또한 저류층유체의 유동은 매우 비선형적이며 히스토리매칭은 수학적으로 잘 정립되지 못한 문제이다. 본 연구에서는 생산량기반 거리와 generalized travel time inversion(GTTI)을 이용하여 빠르게 불확실성을 정량화하는 방법을 제시하였다. 먼저 필드 누적물생산량에 따라 비슷한 필드를 군집화하였다. 이후 K-평균 군집화를 실시하여 대표모델을 선택하고 대표모델에 대해 역산을 실시하였다. 역산 시 GTTI 알고리즘을 적용하여 계산효율 및 준선형성의 이점을 활용하였다. 제시된 방법은 기존의 방법에 비해 불확실성을 신뢰성 있게 정량화하면서도 계산량을 획기적으로 줄인 것을 확인하였다.
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Information
  • Publisher :The Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국자원공학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of the Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국자원공학회지
  • Volume : 51
  • No :3
  • Pages :437-447