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2025 Vol.62, Issue 3 Preview Page

Research Paper

Cost Analysis of the Blue Hydrogen Supply from Canada to Korea

캐나다에서 한국으로의 블루수소 공급 비용 분석

Amisha Flowrence Gomes1
,
Namhwa Kim1
,
Hyundon Shin1*
고메스 아미샤 플로렌스1
,
김 남화1
,
신 현돈1*
1Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Inha University, Incheon, Korea
1인하대학교 에너지자원공학과
*Corresponding Author
30 June 2025. pp. 274-282
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Abstract

This study conducts a cost analysis of blue hydrogen supply from Canada to South Korea by modeling two distinct supply chain scenarios using Monte Carlo simulation. Scenario 1 involves importing liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Canada for domestic hydrogen production in South Korea, coupled with carbon capture and storage (CCS) integration. Scenario 2 involves producing blue hydrogen in Canada and importing it to Korea using various carrier options, such as liquefied hydrogen, ammonia, and liquid organic hydrogen carriers. Blue hydrogen, which is produced primarily through steam methane reforming, partial oxidation, and autothermal reforming, incorporates CCS to reduce carbon emissions. The economic analysis using Monte Carlo simulations in both scenarios shows that blue hydrogen stored in ammonia from Scenario 2 has the lowest supply cost at 7.33 $/kgH2, making it the most cost-effective option. Although Canada’s current LNG supply to Korea is limited, future strategic energy planning supports the feasibility of this scenario.

Keywords
blue hydrogen
LNG import
supply chain scenarios
Monte Carlo simulation
CCS

본 연구는 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통해 캐나다에서 한국으로 블루수소를 공급하는 두 가지 시나리오의 비용을 분석하였다. 시나리오 1은 캐나다산 LNG를 수입해 한국에서 수소를 생산하고 CCS를 통합하는 방식이며, 시나리오 2는 캐나다에서 블루수소를 생산해 액화수소, 암모니아, 유기수소운반체 중 하나의 형태로 저장하여 한국으로 수입하는 방식이다. 블루수소는 주로 수증기 메탄 개질, 부분 산화, 자열 개질을 통해 생산되며, 탄소 배출 저감을 위해 탄소 포집 및 저장(CCS) 기술이 병행된다. 경제성 분석 결과, 시나리오 2의 암모니아 형태로 수소를 운반하는 경우의 공급 비용은 7.33 $/kgH2로 가장 저렴한 것으로 나타났다. 현재 캐나다의 대(對)한국 LNG 공급은 제한적이나, 향후 전략적 에너지 수급 측면에서 해당 시나리오는 타당성을 가질 것으로 전망된다.

키워드
블루수소
액화천연가스 수입
공급망 시나리오
몬테카를로 시뮬레이션
CCS
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Information
  • Publisher :The Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국자원공학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of the Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국자원공학회지
  • Volume : 62
  • No :3
  • Pages :274-282
  • Received Date : 2025-04-10
  • Revised Date : 2025-06-23
  • Accepted Date : 2025-06-23
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.32390/ksmer.2025.62.3.274
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