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2022 Vol.59, Issue 2 Preview Page

Research Paper

Development of Conceptual Cost Estimation Model for an Economic Analysis of Steam Methane Reforming based Hydrogen Production

SMR (Steam Methane Reforming) 수소제조 경제성 분석을 위한 개산견적 모델 개발

Yeonho Lee1
,
Guanwoo Kim1
,
Seil Ki2*
,
Jeonggyu Seo3
이 연호1
,
김 관우1
,
기 세일2*
,
서 정규3
1Deputy Manager, Global E&P Technology Center, Korea National Oil Corporation, Ulsan, Korea
2Senior Manager, Global E&P Technology Center, Korea National Oil Corporation, Ulsan, Korea
3Senior Vice President, Global E&P Technology Center, Korea National Oil Corporation, Ulsan, Korea
1한국석유공사 글로벌기술센터 대리
2한국석유공사 글로벌기술센터 차장
3한국석유공사 글로벌기술센터 센터장
*Corresponding Author
30 April 2022. pp. 193-204
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Abstract

This study develops a steam methane reforming hydrogen production conceptual cost estimation model for large-scale hydrogen extraction. Capital expenditure, operating expenditure, and abandonment expenditure are estimated yearly based on the cost estimation model considering the scale effects of the hydrogen production facility. These are used in economic evaluation with sensitivity analysis according to the input parameters’ changes. The relationship between the levelized cost of hydrogen and the net present value according to the change of facility scale is confirmed. The base case model gives a hydrogen production of 333 tonnes/day and a levelized cost of 2.91 US$/kg, which has been verified as a reliable value. This model is expected to be further utilized in hydrogen production feasibility studies under various scenarios and contribute to efficient decision-making.

Keywords
Steam methane reforming
Large-scale hydrogen extraction
Economic analysis
Hydrogen production conceptual cost estimation model
Levelized cost of hydrogen

본 연구에서는 대규모 추출(개질)수소 생산을 위하여 수증기 메탄 개질반응(steam methane reforming, SMR) 수소제조 개산견적 모델을 개발하였다. 개발한 모델을 이용하여 수소제조 시설의 규모에 따른 연도별 CAPEX(capital expenditure), OPEX(operating expenditure), ABEX(abandonment expenditure)를 산출하여 경제성 분석에 반영하였고, 경제성 분석의 다양한 입력변수들에 따른 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 수소제조 시설의 규모가 커질 때의 균등화 수소원가(levelized cost of hydrogen, LCOH) 와 순현재가치(net present value, NPV) 의 관계를 확인하였다. 일일 수소생산량 333톤 규모로 가정한 기본모델의 균등화 수소원가를 2.91 US$/kg으로 산출하고, 현실성이 있는 결과로 확인하였다. 이를 통해, SMR방식을 적용한 수소사업의 다양한 시나리오에 대해 신속하고 합리적인 경제성 분석이 가능하고, 효율적 의사결정에 기여할 수 있다.

키워드
수증기 메탄 개질반응
대규모 수소제조시설
경제성 분석
수소제조 개산견적 모델
균등화 수소원가
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Information
  • Publisher :The Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국자원공학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of the Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국자원공학회지
  • Volume : 59
  • No :2
  • Pages :193-204
  • Received Date : 2022-01-25
  • Revised Date : 2022-03-30
  • Accepted Date : 2022-04-26
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.32390/ksmer.2022.59.2.193
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